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Coronavirus forces massive AAPL hit, Microsoft earnings warning

Last updated

As uncertainty swirls about the coronavirus impact technology industry-wide, industry stalwart Microsoft has issued an earnings warning, and Apple stock price continues to plummet.

Microsoft said that coronavirus impacts are limited to its relatively small hardware division, and to Windows operating system licensing to original equipment manufacturers (OEM).

"Although we see strong Windows demand in line with our expectations, the supply chain is returning to normal operations at a slower pace than anticipated at the time of our Q2 earnings call," Microsoft said late on Wednesday. "As a result, for the third quarter of fiscal year 2020, we do not expect to meet our More Personal Computing segment guidance as Windows OEM and Surface are more negatively impacted than previously anticipated."

Microsoft's "More Personal Computing Segment" includes Windows licensing, accessories, Surface hardware, all of Microsoft's gaming initiatives. The company previously expected $10.75 billion to $11.15 billion from the segment in the quarter.

Prior to the announcement, Microsoft stock was worth $170.17 per share. In pre-market trading, it has fallen 3.92 percent to $163.50. It has not issued refreshed guidance, beyond the fact that it would miss its revenue targets from the business segment.

Continued AAPL impact from the coronavirus

Apple told investors much earlier that it would be impacted, with a similar message to Microsoft's issued on February 17.

At 9:02 A.M. Eastern time, Apple stock is valued at $283.32. This is a 3.2% drop from the Wednesday's close. The trading day before Apple's statement that it would miss quarterly guidance because of the coronavirus, Apple stock was worth $324.95 at close.

For the most part, analysts believe that the problem is a temporary one, with few industry observers cutting back on long-term Apple stock price prognostications.

The coronavirus and the tech industry story so far

The 2019 Novel Coronavirus, officially named "2019-nCoV" is a type of coronavirus responsible for causing respiratory distress in the infected. Symptoms are typically flu-like, with a fever, cough, and shortness of breath. Those infected usually go on to develop pneumonia.

Those at greatest risk are children under three and adults over 65. Many of the deaths in the 2019-nCoV outbreak have been those who already had pre-existing conditions that would have made fighting the virus much more difficult, including diabetes, high blood pressure, and heart disease.

Apple's CEO Tim Cook detailed, in response to a query from CNBC, that they were already seeking ways to work around the coronavirus. Alternative sources for parts had already been tapped to fill in where Chinese manufactures would likely fall behind.

Because of demand impacts in China and a slower than expected manufacturing ramp-up, Apple supplied a wide-swinging guidance for the second fiscal quarter earnings. Apple was predicting between $63 billion to $67 billion in the quarter, with the wider than normal range to account uncertainty around the outbreak.

Recently, Apple RAM supplier SK Hynix has told potentially infected workers to stay home. Apple itself issued a virus warning prior to Wednesday's shareholder meeting.

Apple has reopened about half of its retail stores in China for limited hours, but is restricting the number of customers that can enter the store. Apple assembler Foxconn is paying workers extra to return to plants — and it isn't clear what capacity the factories can deliver at this time.

While infection rates in China appear to be declining, it isn't clear if this is accurate data. Meanwhile, the virus has taken hold in other countries like Italy, South Korea, and more.

Germany isn't able to keep track of all the infection paths anymore, with cases popping up with no clear chain. Additionally, there is now one case of coronavirus in the United States that it isn't clear where the initial infection came from, nor who may be infected as a result of the patient passing through daily life activities, and the U.S. healthcare system.



34 Comments

seanismorris 8 Years · 1624 comments

This isn’t looking good.  China has done a good job containing the virus (despite criticism) but it’s spread globally seems inevitable.  

I’m particularly concerned about reports of patients having been cleared (after being infected) then having the virus being detected again later (and sick).  What’s happening?  Is the virus living on surfaces longer than expected and the persons coming in contact with it again?  That doesn’t seem likely.  Does the virus have the ability to go dormant in the body then have a resurgence?  This would mean 2 weeks of isolation isn’t good enough.  Also, all those temperature reading to determine if someone is infected doesn’t mean squat.

jimh2 8 Years · 670 comments

This isn’t looking good.  China has done a good job containing the virus (despite criticism) but it’s spread globally seems inevitable.  
I’m particularly concerned about reports of patients having been cleared (after being infected) then having the virus being detected again later (and sick).  What’s happening?  Is the virus living on surfaces longer than expected and the persons coming in contact with it again?  That doesn’t seem likely.  Does the virus have the ability to go dormant in the body then have a resurgence?  This would mean 2 weeks of isolation isn’t good enough.  Also, all those temperature reading to determine if someone is infected doesn’t mean squat.

I'd add all of Europe to that with their open borders.

SpamSandwich 19 Years · 32917 comments

As of this moment the stock is in a free fall. Over 5% drop today. Who would expect anything less than sheer blind panic from short term traders and increasingly negative momentum out there?

Itll probably take the stock a year to recover at this point.

lkrupp 19 Years · 10521 comments

This isn’t looking good.  China has done a good job containing the virus (despite criticism) but it’s spread globally seems inevitable.  
I’m particularly concerned about reports of patients having been cleared (after being infected) then having the virus being detected again later (and sick).  What’s happening?  Is the virus living on surfaces longer than expected and the persons coming in contact with it again?  That doesn’t seem likely.  Does the virus have the ability to go dormant in the body then have a resurgence?  This would mean 2 weeks of isolation isn’t good enough.  Also, all those temperature reading to determine if someone is infected doesn’t mean squat.

So you're buying into the Apocalypse? Are you reading the Book of Revelations? You know what, seventeen million people died in the U.S. during the 1918 Influenza epidemic and we're still here. And from all that I've read Covid-19 has a fatality index of 2.3% and like the Flu it kills mainly the elderly, infants, and those with compromised immune systems. Ebola is 90% and we haven't all died from it yet. COVID-19's mortality rate is less than SARS or MERS. The 1918 Spanish Flu epidemic killed an estimated 50 million people worldwide yet we don't even talk about it anymore. Why? Because of modern medicine. I simply don't buy the hype out there by survivalists, religious zealots, and the various hang-wringers writing furiously on their blogs. Interesting factoid, Costco sells a pallet of food that will provide nutrition for one year. The pallet costs $5K... and they are sold out. Costco sells a huge bucket of Mac-and-Cheese that has a shelf life of 20 years... but it's still in stock. 

This is just me ranting so don't take it personally. Your post was handy.

tzeshan 14 Years · 2350 comments

Microsoft has supply chains? Why no body was talking about it? Microsoft is not a small company. It has one trillion dollar market cap. Where is freedom of speech here? Why no free speech talking about Microsoft manufacturing in China?