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Estimate pegs holiday Apple Watch sales at 5.2M, giving Apple a 63% marketshare

Though Apple has not officially announced any sales figures for its wearable Apple Watch, that hasn't stopped research firms from estimating its performance, with new data from Strategy Analytics pegging the device at 5.2 million shipments in the fourth quarter of 2016.

Total smartwatch shipments are estimated to have grown 1 percent annually to 8.2 million units in the holiday quarter. That would give Apple a dominant 63 percent share of the entire segment.

Though Apple has not announced any actual sales figures for the Apple Watch, the company did say a new record was set for sales during the three-month period. Accordingly, Strategy Analytics's projections suggest sales increased slightly year over year, from 5.1 million Apple Watches in the holiday 2015 quarter.

The next closest competitor, according to Strategy Analytics, was estimated to be Samsung, with just 800,000 units shipped and a 10 percent share. That was a reduction from 2.7 million units and 16 percent in the same period a year prior.

In all, Strategy Analytics forecasts that Apple shipped 11.6 million units in 2016, with the majority of those coming from the launch of Apple Watch Series 2 in the last few months of the year. Total smartwatch shipments for the year were pegged at 21.1 million.

Still, the firm believes that total Apple Watch shipments in 2016 were down from 2015, when the wearable device first debuted. Its estimates suggest the Apple Watch shipped 13.6 million units in 2015.

As such, with slower shipments from both Apple and Samsung, the 1 percent growth forecast for 2016 was attributed to other manufacturers. Though Strategy Analytics did not single out any other competitors, it said total shipments in the "others" category grew from 4.5 million in 2015 to 7.1 million in 2016.



23 Comments

lkrupp 19 Years · 10521 comments

The news just keeps getting worse for the naysayers.

MacPro 18 Years · 19845 comments

Market share and no doubt the lion's share of profit goes to Apple too  I wonder what the percentage profit was for the remaining 37%.  I would suspect it is similar to the smart phone market, next to nothing.

dougd 12 Years · 292 comments

I've still zero interest in this device. If they develop to a point where the battery lasts a week, maybe.

ireland 18 Years · 17436 comments

dougd said:
I've still zero interest in this device. If they develop to a point where the battery lasts a week, maybe.

When, not if. Advanced health features for watches over the next 12 years will be huge. Diabetics won't know themselves.

Imaging features such as:

"You seem thirsty, sip on a glass of water soon (300 ml)".

"Your blood pressure seems a little high. You might consider some yoga or meditation classes. In the meantime here is the number of your doctor to book a checkup".

"I've tested your blood and you have 40mg of Lp(a) per decilitre. It is recommended you consume around 3,000 mg (3 grams) of vitamin C daily. I found the number for Holland & Barret in your contacts. Ask them if they have vitamin c in stock. They have a sale on currently".

"I am your long lost cousin from Nigeria. Please wire me $1M and I will make you a king in my country".