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Evercore raises Apple price target to $125, sees bigger iPhones leading to bigger sales

Bigger iPhone 6 screens are likely to result in a bigger upgrade cycle for Apple, in the eyes of Evercore Partners, which increased its price target to $125 on Tuesday and advised investors to buy in.

Analyst Rob Cihra reiterated his "overweight" rating for AAPL stock in his latest research note to investors, a copy of which was provided to AppleInsider. He also increased his estimated iPhone sales for the September quarter to 39 million units, which would be a 15 percent year over year increase.

Looking forward to the December quarter, Cihra sees Apple selling a massive 65 million iPhone units, which would be a 27 percent year over year increase and a new all-time record for the company.

But to Cihra, even more impressive than sales growth would be if Apple is able to maintain or even grow its average iPhone selling price. The analyst noted that the broader smartphone market is showing growth only at the lower end, and companies outside of Apple are largely stagnant in terms of high-end sales.

Many analysts expect that the average selling price of the iPhone will increase with Apple's new lineup. This year, the company is offering more capacity than ever, and is also charging a $100 premium for the 5.5-inch iPhone 6 Plus.

For Cihra, the 4.7- and 5.5-inch screen sizes in the new iPhone 6 lineup hit a "sweet spot" with consumers, which he believes will result in a "major upgrade cycle" for the more than 300 million worldwide iPhoen users.

Apple is scheduled to report its results for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2014 on Oct. 20. Cihra's overall estimates call for the company to report revenue of $40.1 billion, up 7 percent year over year, and earnings per share of $1.31, which would be a 11 percent increase from the September 2013 quarter.

Looking forward to fiscal 2015, Cihra sees Apple's revenue reaching $210 billion, which would be a 16 percent year over year increase. He's also forecast Apple to earn $7.53 per share.



31 Comments

island hermit 14 Years · 6214 comments

I guess the next question would be... can Apple have enough phones produced to get over 60 million sold.

MacPro 18 Years · 19845 comments

[quote name="island hermit" url="/t/182590/evercore-raises-apple-price-target-to-125-sees-bigger-iphones-leading-to-bigger-sales#post_2610101"]I guess the next question would be... can Apple have enough phones produced to get over 60 million sold.[/quote] Especially as 50% are being rejected in quality tests as they fail the bend test /s ;)

island hermit 14 Years · 6214 comments

Quote:
Originally Posted by digitalclips Especially as 50% are being rejected in quality tests as they fail the bend test /s

 

I think it's funny that you felt it was necessary to use the sarcasm tag.  Har!

theothergeoff 14 Years · 2081 comments

Quote:
Originally Posted by island hermit 

I guess the next question would be... can Apple have enough phones produced to get over 60 million sold.

 

 

I figured a 20% YoY increase.  28% is huge

 

Next quarter.  That's a run/sell/deliver rate of 700,000 a day.  

The only way I see that happening is if they plan on cannabalizing  the iPad Mini line (and/or don't upgrade it next month).

 

Obviously about 30% of that is 5s/5c  sales.  Stocking stuffers, and mom/dad switching from android to a 6P and dragging children along with a .99 iPhone 5c.  I'm confident the low end will move... I may get 5s for my wife when I get a 6 for me, just so both of us have TouchID.

 

So 500,000 phones a day are the number for the new line.

 

The key is china.  If they are ready for the Chinese market Oct 17th, and are able to keep the pipeline filled from the factory to the markets, then it's a very real possibility.  If it slides, or numbers there are not good, no way.

island hermit 14 Years · 6214 comments

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOtherGeoff 
 

 

 

I figured a 20% YoY increase.  28% is huge

 

Next quarter.  That's a run/sell/deliver rate of 700,000 a day.  

The only way I see that happening is if they plan on cannabalizing  the iPad Mini line (and/or don't upgrade it next month).

 

Obviously about 30% of that is 5s/5c  sales.  Stocking stuffers, and mom/dad switching from android to a 6P and dragging children along with a .99 iPhone 5c.  I'm confident the low end will move... I may get 5s for my wife when I get a 6 for me, just so both of us have TouchID.

 

So 500,000 phones a day are the number for the new line.

 

The key is china.  If they are ready for the Chinese market Oct 17th, and are able to keep the pipeline filled from the factory to the markets, then it's a very real possibility.  If it slides, or numbers there are not good, no way.

 

Theoretically it seems possible... but from what I'm reading... the rejection rate of parts is very high.

 

It must drive Tim Cook nuts.