Apple is in negotiations with an increasingly demanding Indonesia to get its iPhone 16 ban lifted, while Huawei plans to shortly launch its smartphone in the country.
The ban on sales of the iPhone 16 in Indonesia originally followed Apple's failure to meet its commitments to the country. Firms have to either source an unfeasibly large 40% of components from the country, or invest in development within the region, which is what Apple had committed to do.
Based on previous reports, it appears that Apple's shortfall was around $10 million, and the company did then offer Indonesia that amount to basically make good. It was a token and the Indonesian government rejected it, making Apple up its offer to $100 million worth of investment.
The government rejected that too, and seemingly chiefly on the grounds that Apple was again proposing to create more developer academies and a research and development center. It's possible that Apple was also planning to make AirPods Max in the country, but the government there wanted much more manufacturing.
Then in December 2024, with the iPhone 16 ban still in place, Investment Minister Rosan Roeslani said Apple would announce a $1 billion proposal within a week.
Later that month, sources in the country said that Indonesia President Prabowo Subianto had approved Apple's proposal to build factories in the region. It wasn't confirmed by either side, but it was believed this was the $1 billion proposal that the minister alluded to.
Apple has not commented on any part of the negotiations, but now according to Reuters, representatives from the company met with officials on January 7, 2025, to discuss the issue. Indonesia's Industry Minister Agus Gumiwang Kartasasmita said that he had met with various Apple executives, including Nick Ammann, its vice president of global government affairs.
"We do not set any time frame for a deal, but we have set a target for the substance of a deal," said Agus.
All of this follows Tim Cook's promise in April 2024 that Apple would consider manufacturing in Indonesia.
Perhaps that was taken as an empty promise. Certainly Apple did fail to meet the country's requirements for what's called the local content mandate.
Whatever the reasoning, Indonesia steadily increased its demands on Apple from the $10 million, to $100 million, to $1 billion. And it's seemingly not over yet.
For while Industry Minister Agus Gumiwang Kartasasmita refused to confirm that Apple was offering $1 billion, he did comment on the rumor.
"If it is $1 billion, it is not sufficient," he said.
Enter Huawei
According to the latest figures from IDC in December 2024, Apple sold 2.1 million iPhones in Indonesia in 2023, and was expecting to sell 2.9 million in 2024. While sales were growing until the iPhone 16 ban was imposed, iPhone still represented no more than around 2% of the Indonesian smartphone market.
With a population of 278 million people, the giant majority using Android, Huawei has now revealed that it will be releasing smartphones in Indonesia from March 2025. It's specifically smartphones from Huawei subsidiary Honor, and according to CNBC will include a folding model.
That will come in an initial batch of 10 medium to high-end smartphones that Huawei will release in March. By the end of 2025, it plans to have around 30 devices, including both phones and tablets.
Huawei appears to be meeting Indonesia's requirements by partnering with a local manufacturing firm. It also has an office in the country, and is planning to open at least 10 stores there.
And there is no sign of a $1 billion investment in Indonesia from Huawei.
5 Comments
There comes a point where Apple is going to have to bite the bullet and flip the Indonesian government the bird and just pull completely out of the country until saner heads prevail.
Honor was divested from Huawei a few years ago as a result of sanctions.
It is no longer an official subsidiary of Huawei and Huawei itself pulled out of consumer sales in Indonesia in 2020 as a result of government regulations (the same regulations Apple is dealing with).
I don't know if they have plans to re-enter the market.