WR Hambrecht & Co. on Wednesday raised its price target on shares of Apple Inc, citing falling component prices during the current quarter and pent-up demand for iPhone leading into next month's launch.
"[Our] results indicate that the stores do not have reliable color on the timing of when they will have the phone; most stores expect the phone on June 15th or June 22nd, and most expect to only have a few (highest number was 40 at one store) on hand initially," analyst Matthew Kather wrote in a report.
The analyst added that overall pent-up retail demand appears very strong, with about 15-20 percent of the stores that were contacted saying they are keeping a waiting list for customers interested in purchasing the device.
Shares of Apple may begin to see increased activity a couple of weeks ahead of the iPhone launch, according to Kather, who notes the company's Worldwide Developers Conference is set to tip-off during the week of June 11th.
"We expect Apple to unveil an update to its Mac franchise, specifically on the professional lines, which could include new features like instant boot given the new technology from Intel's Centrino platform," he wrote. "The could be a number of other software related announcements too around the Mac platform, and possibly the iPhone/Apple TV."
Kather, who maintains a Buy rating on shares of the Cupertino-based Apple, raised his target to $125 per share from $115 per share, while also increasing his estimates for the company's June quarter on sliding component prices.
Specifically, the analyst cited "falling to stable" component prices on a sequential basis for DRAM and NAND flash, which should drive gross margins to 33.5 percent, up from his previous estimate of 32.5 percent and Apple's guidance of 32 percent.
"Component prices will not be as big of a tailwind as in the [first calendar quarter of the year], in our opinion, but with DRAM on track to decline about 40 - 50 percent and NAND prices mostly slightly up to flat quarter-over-quarter, it should still flow through to very strong gross margins for the June quarter," he explained. "Additionally, we believe the upcoming iPhone launch will be a catalyst for modest multiple expansion in the stock price due to the planned deferred revenue recognition of iPhone sales."
33 Comments
Sheesh..... I am now REALLY getting bummed about the AAPL calls I had sold at $120 (not so much because of this analyst, as much as watching the ticker getting steadily close to the exercise price these past few weeks).
Well, I bought in long at $113. I have been watching it for the past two years. What was I thinking?
A survey of stores who have no clue, to see what each one "expects"?
If they really knew, they'd know not to say. I don't think that number is reliable info. The stores admit they don't know the date... yet they guess a date all the same. They're guessing on quantities too I'm sure.
Anyway, say it's half that, 20 phones, times 2000 stores, that's 40 thousand to start with (plus online sales from AT&T and Apple) and more on the way.
Digg it
Hmmm, 40 phones per store wont do They'll be gone by 9 AM. I wonder how many will be in the Apple Stores?