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Fitbit's new financial worries are just its latest in a long line

Fitbit produces many, ever more sleek fitness devices

For a company that's a household name and is producing a hugely successful product, Fitbit has a remarkable history of lurching from crisis to crisis.

It's a device you wear on your wrist and which gathers data to help you have a fitter, more active life. There have been different models, constantly revised and updated, and there have been security issues about what data the devices are overhearing.

But enough about Apple Watch, let's just examine what's happening with Fitbit.

The parallels with the market for Apple Watch, and the parallels with how the two companies are treated and traded, are remarkable.

Apple Watch is a smartwatch that, increasingly, includes health features. Fitbit is a range of devices, including smartwatches like the newest Versa Lite, that have traditionally concentrated on health and fitness.

Right now, Fitbit's shares have dropped considerably, following its financial earnings call for the quarter. Alongside many positive points, the company admitted to weaker than expected sales for its main Apple Watch competitor, the Fitbit Versa Lite.

And looking ahead to the next quarter, it issued a warning that revenues are expected to be up to 15% lower than originally predicted.

"With weaker Versa Lite sales, we are lowering the midpoint of our 2019 revenue guidance by $95 million to $1.455 billion from $1.550 billion," said the company in a press release, "and now expect full year 2019 revenue to be $1.43 billion to $1.48 billion."

We've been here before

Fitbit has been around since 2007, and this is not the first time its shares have fallen. It also isn't the first time that the company has potentially faced serious problems.

"We probably have a list of seven times that the company was close to death," co-founder James Park told Forbes back in 2015. While he didn't read out the list, it's likely that at least one of the times was in 2011 when privacy became a hot issue.

When you get a Fitbit, you sign up to a service and all of the data that your device records is saved there. Fitbit shares data, much as Apple Watch does, to promote competition. When it reveals some information online, though, it sometimes goes further than it should and the result is embarrassing data being posted and readable.

Specifically, one category of activities that Fitbit tracks was being revealed. "Sexual activity, active, vigorous effort," was being listed with the duration of the, ah, workout shown next to it.

It used to be in Apple Stores

Also likely to be on Park's list of times the company almost died, was the moment when Apple ceased selling its products in retail and the online Apple Stores. It did that when the Apple Watch came out, and naturally Fitbit's Park had an opinion.

Certain Fitbit devices have companion iOS apps Certain Fitbit devices have companion iOS apps

When the Apple Watch launched in 2015, he said that Apple simply got it wrong.

"We look at it from a consumer point of view," Park said. "[Apple Watch] is a computing platform, but that's really the wrong way to approach this category from the very beginning."

Usually it's Apple who claims to have thought about products from the user's point of view, but this time, it was Fitbit trying to claim that position.

Fitbit did claim a position as a household name, and it did so both through investing greatly in advertising after it lost the Apple Store outlet, and through making devices that work well.

Just over a year after the Apple Watch launch, Fitbit bought smartwatch maker Pebble. Perhaps it was spending too much on acquisitions, maybe the company's running costs were too high, or maybe investors were noticing how well Apple Watch was doing.

Whatever the reason, Fitbit's stock dropped radically. While it recovered well, the company has had more financial lurches than it or investors would want.

It's not as fancy as an Apple Watch, but it works. It's not as fancy as an Apple Watch, but it works.

It got called on this rollercoaster, though, in 2016 when CNBC's Jim Cramer talked interviewed James Park and asked about Fitbit's guidance. Cramer said that it had become routine for Fitbit to announce incredible profits, but then warn of "tepid" future expectations in its guidance.

"We are a fitness social network that is coupled to hardware," responded James Park on Cramer's Mad Money show, "and we are on the cusp of transitioning the mission and purpose of our company from a consumer electronics company to a digital healthcare company."

Three years on, Fitbit is again reporting profits, yet issuing warnings in its guidance for the next quarter.

Amongst the AppleInsider staff, it's split about 50/50 as to whether we see more Fitbit devices in the wild, or Apple Watches. Regardless, as good as Apple Watch is, it's better when there is strong competition. So here's hoping there isn't an eighth time that Fitbit faces near death.

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12 Comments

AppleExposed 6 Years · 1805 comments

Just read up on this yesterday. While tech sites are busy typing up the next "Apple is doomed" bait they're ignoring a massive turd in the punchbowl.

Apple Watch sales and user base is WAY up. 75% of Q3 Watch buyers are new.
VS.
Fitbit. Reported record losses and their latest attempt to knock off Apple Watch has sold less than expected. Fitbit stock plunged to record lows and a drop of 15% while Apple reported GREAT news.
"In its effort to stay competitive, Fitbit has been slashing prices, which resulted in a shrinking of its gross margin, or the profit left after subtracting costs of goods sold, to 34.5% from 39.8%."
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/07/31/apple-fitbit-results-show-smartwatch-market-becoming-winner-take-all.html



This has caused Fitbit to lose 82% of it's IPO since 2015. Fitbit is now valued under 1B dollars.

Now, I don't give a F about stock prices but what this shows us is that Fitbit, the company that was supposed to be the knockoff Apple Watch for Android is now a slowly dying company. Yet they are still outselling the next closest competitor. This means android Wear (or whatever flavor of the week name they have) is doing a LOT WORSE.

Fitbits strategy going forward is services. The problem here is that they're competing with a company that has been planting their seeds into services for over a decade and are about to storm the industry with more refined, secure, quality services which have been in the works for years.

CHECKMATE.

seanismorris 8 Years · 1624 comments

Now. Now. No gloating.

The reality is when Apple entered the market everyone else was regulated to mid to low end.  It’s tough to make money without a premium product.  No platform = no premium product.

This feels like Blackberry, which switched to Android to run Google Apps.  I don’t know the status of the watch project with Google...

But, maybe they can reinvent themselves with Google’s help... 

AppleExposed 6 Years · 1805 comments

Now. Now. No gloating.

The reality is when Apple entered the market everyone else was regulated to mid to low end.  It’s tough to make money without a premium product.  No platform = no premium product.

This feels like Blackberry, which switched to Android to run Google Apps.  I don’t know the status of the watch project with Google...

But, maybe they can reinvent themselves with Google’s help... 

Forgot to add:

Fitbit making knockoff Apple Watches is their downfall. They had a perfectly original, functional, innovative band that people called "Fitbits". Maybe Fitbit thought their bands would go the way of iPod but now they're chasing the Apple knockoff market which suffers from high volume, low profit. Ask Samsung or anyone else who chases Apples market. You just cannot be better at being Apple than Apple.

I believe the choice between a "Fitbit"(band) and an Apple Watch is harder than Fitbit Versa Vs. Apple Watch where it's a no-brainer. At least their bands are different and serve a different market. This causes knockoffs to only be able to compete on price, which history has shown us and Fitbit is now adjusting which of course lands you in the high volume/low profit conundrum.

macky the macky 15 Years · 4801 comments

Fitbit, the cat of Wallstreet, has used seven of its nine lives...

StrangeDays 8 Years · 12986 comments

I never invested in Fitbit due to their refusal to share my own data back to me via Apple HealthKit. Was a dealbreaker.