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Big Tech stocks are better repositories of wealth than bonds, says Jim Cramer

CNBC "Mad Money" host Jim Cramer said that Big Tech stocks like Apple, Alphabet, or Amazon are much better repositories of wealth than bonds, owing to their strong balance sheets and financial performance.

The TV personality and former hedge fund manager made that claim in a recent episode of the CNBC show, and used the Big Tech stocks as a example of why investors may need to "re-think [their] notions about stocks versus bonds."

"This year we're witnessing the passing of the torch. Bonds were the safest assets back in '82, back when treasuries yield double digits," Cramer said. "Now they're risky assets, maybe riskier, riskier than anyone thinks."

Cramer said that for many major companies that he follows, the equity side is much safer than bonds. That translates to big tech stocks like Facebook, Apple, Amazon and Microsoft being a "much safer repository for wealth."

Although he cautioned that this isn't the case for all companies, he said that the Big Tech stocks are sitting on more cash than most countries. Microsoft has $138 billion, Alphabet has $133 billion, and Apple has $192 billion.

"They survived The Great Recession, and what happened? They came out stronger. The countries didn't," Cramer said. "In the great pandemic, they're not just thriving but they are actually putting up unbelievable numbers."

Cramer added that Facebook, Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft are the "Fort Knoxes of our era."

Although the "Mad Money" host admitted that this is a brand new thesis, he said that the real lesson of the era is that "stocks are the ones that don't need government help here."

"That means if you're a young, wet-behind-the-ears broker at Goldman Sachs, I would tell you to forget all those bond ideas," Cramer concluded. "Just tell your clients to buy the stocks of terrific companies with nation state-sized balance sheets. You'll do much better with a heck of a lot less long-term risk and more dividends."



10 Comments

GeorgeBMac 8 Years · 11421 comments

Almost everything is a better bet than bonds right now -- especially if you mean treasuries.
U.S. treasuries not only lose money each year because their rate of interest is less than that of inflation by roughly 1% or so.   So, in real money you lose about 1% a year owning a treasury.

But, if you don't hold that treasury to maturity you risk losing even more -- a lot more -- especially if its a longer term treasury like a 10 year bond.   That's because if and when these ultra low interest rates rise -- which they invariably will -- the bond sells for less than you bought it for.   And, the longer the duration the less it sells for.

So, you not only lose money each year on the interest, you can lose substantial principle as well but with no corresponding offset of potential gain .  

That forces people into risk assets like tech stocks (and others) because it's not only the only way to make money, it's the only way to not lose money.    So, it boosts those prices beyond what they would otherwise be in a normal, natural market that is based on economics rather than "Fed Puts'.

But since we are in the midst of a Fed Put and the Fed has promised to keep their foot on the gas pedal for the foreseeable future, things like tech stocks (and others) are the only possible way to make money in this very artificial market.   (And that's not to slam Trump -- it's been artificial since 2008).

jdw 18 Years · 1457 comments

While I can only HOPE such to remain true, the fundamental flaw in the article is the fact it does not mention the greatest threat to that success story -- governmental interference with the free market in the form of antitrust lawsuits.

GeorgeBMac 8 Years · 11421 comments

jdw said:
While I can only HOPE such to remain true, the fundamental flaw in the article is the fact it does not mention the greatest threat to that success story -- governmental interference with the free market in the form of antitrust lawsuits.

Conversely, we also have the greatest threat to democracy coming from some of those same corporations.  

Reuters had to tell Facebook about groups using their platform to openly advocate replacing democracy with armed and violent revolt.     "Time for a civil war!"  

OctoMonkey 4 Years · 343 comments

As I have taught my children about statements like this:
"It is absolutely, 100%, undeniably true!"
.
.
.
"Until it isn't"

GeorgeBMac 8 Years · 11421 comments

As I have taught my children about statements like this:
"It is absolutely, 100%, undeniably true!"
.
.
.
"Until it isn't"

Yeh, but then that's how the market works:   Money flows to that which is thought to be the best bet.   And, depending on the circumstances, the best bet is constantly changing.

Some people say to simply buy a "well diversified portfolio" (meaning you buy a little bit everything) and hang onto it with a death grip.   Which, in today's highly correlated equities environment is an apt analogy.

50 years ago my Investments professor taught me that I should "Buy low and sell high".   I've found that it tends to work well if you can pull it off.