Apple seen selling as many as 9 million Macs in 2007
Apple Computer could sell more than 9 million computers next year if its Mac market share continues to grow at the same rate seen during the 2006 calendar year, one Wall Street analyst says.
Apple's Mac market share in the third quarter of 2006 was 2.8 percent and will likely be around 3.0 percent for the fourth quarter, the analyst said, up from 2.1 percent in the first quarter.
"Based on several catalysts, we believe Mac market share can grow by 1 percent again in 2007, ending the year at around 4 percent, with an average for the year of 3.5 percent.," Munster wrote in a note to clients.
With an average market share of 3.5 percent for the year, Apple would sell 9.01 million Macs during the course of the year, according to the analyst's estimates. That's significantly more than Street consensus estimates of 6.95 million Macs based on an average market share of 2.7 percent.
The additional 2.06 million Macs would add more than $2.8 billion to Apple's bottom line, Munster said, making the Street's current earnings-per-share estimates for the Cupertino, Calif.-based company some $0.35, or 11.6 percent, too low.
According to IDC, Apple's current worldwide Mac market share stands at 2.8 percent.
28 Comments
That is obviously a Modest Estimate
They will obviously sell 10 Million or more
Sebastian
Just because they sell 9 million Macs next year doen't mean their market share will rise. Depending on how many PCs are sold..it could decline, remain the same, or rise.\
If the iPhone can sell 12 million units we'll have a second driver of sales to 1st time Mac users. The iTV has the potential to blow things open if in fact we only got a tease. If the thing turns out to be a smart DVR capable of time shifting all your favorite programing along with with wireless .n streaming of all one's digital content lots of news users.
Don't forget that we may see a large portion of the 2 million creative pros replacing aging hardware upon the release of Adobe upgades. I've only bought 4 new Macs in the past 3 years and next year I'll buy at least 2 maybe 3.
MW
http://forums.appleinsider.com/images/smilies/1eek.gif
Well let's put it this way.
Rosetta problems for the most part will be disappearing in 2007 with Adobe and Microsoft, the 2 largest 3rd Party Developers, making their Software Universal.
As the Footprint grows, so will the amount of "Word-of-Mouth" marketing, and the more Widespread Macs will become.
People still using Older Macs (eMacs, G3 iBooks, etc.) will likely want to upgrade this year.
If the 12" Powerbook is indeed replaced by a 12" Macbook Pro, then fans of those will madly buy them up.
I don't believe in Halo Effects
Sebastian
Go, Apple! At 1% per year growth, we should be able to overtake the Windows hegemony by the middle of the century.