The comments came during a meeting between senior company officials and analysts for Oppenheimer, who stopped at the iPhone maker's Cupertino-based campus Thursday as part of a bus tour that also swung by the headquarters of Synaptics, Trimble Navigation, Zoran, and Cypress Semiconductor.
In a report on the meetings issued to clients Friday, analyst Yair Reiner said Apple sidestepped his questions on new products but remained upbeat about the potential for "considerable" growth through share gains in two of its three core business segments: the Mac and iPhone.
On the Mac side, Apple indicated that some of its strongest prospects for share gains exist internationally, where growth has recently outpaced that of the U.S. For example, the company said last month that unit sales and revenue grew 5 percent and 18 percent, respectively, on a year-over-year basis in Europe compared to an 8 percent unit decline and 8 percent revenue increase in the Americas.
Meanwhile, Reiner wrote that the "iPhone is still in its early days and could gain share by: providing more functionality; lowering prices; growing geographically; or segmenting the market with different models."
Uncertain whether these assertions where those of the analyst or derived from specific comments by Apple, AppleInsider contacted Reiner for clarification. Surprisingly, the remarks came from management. "[T]hey are not saying they will necessarily do all of these," the analyst said. "This is basically the menu of options."
Still, the revelation is noteworthy given that it's the first time members of the company's leadership have expressed openly that they may be interested in catering to a broader demographic by fragmenting the iPhone line into a family of phones with materially distinct features and price points.
These comments may support the discovery of references to multiple new iPhone models in the company's pre-release builds of iPhone Software 3.0. The remarks on lower pricing are similarly interesting, though they've been made previously during earlier sit-downs with other analysts.
For his part, Reiner says he expects "some combination of all these" options to materialize over the next six months. In speaking to AppleInsider, he added that when it comes to segmentation of models, "Apple said that one thing would be a constant: iPhone will remain a software centric device."
Oppenheimer's visit to Apple's campus was the second in as many weeks by an equity research firm that provides ongoing coverage of the company. Last week, Kaufman Bros. analyst Shaw Wu made the trip in conjunction with a pack of investors that tagged along for the ride down from San Francisco..
In his write-up of the face-to-face encounter with Apple chief financial officer Peter Oppenheimer and Tom Boger, a senior manager in the company's Mac division, Wu similarly noted that no new product information was shed. However, he said he walked away from the sit-down with higher conviction in his "Buy" thesis on the company and a belief that Apple shares can support a higher trading multiple going forward.
"Apple seemed particularly excited about the China market but wouldn't comment on timing," he said, referring to the iPhone maker's prospects for capitalizing on the world's largest cell phone market, and suggesting a move into the region could come as early as this summer alongside new iPhones.
Government statistics indicate that there are more than 600 million wireless subscribers spread across the country, with market research firm iSuppli estimating that another 90 million are likely to sign up with a wireless provider this year. So the stakes are high and share ripe for the picking.
Both China Mobile, the world's largest wireless provider, and China Unicom, its smaller rival ranking second in the country, have both confirmed ongoing negotiations with Apple. However, recent reports indicate that momentum may have recently shifted in China Unicom's direction after talks between Apple and China Mobile, believed to be its first choice of partner with 415 million subscribers, reportedly broke down.
At the root of the issue were reported demands on the part of China Mobile that it be able to control the local version of the App Store. The carrier was also at one point said to be asking that Apple ship it iPhones with both Wi-Fi and 3G technology disabled for competitive reasons. And while there's no concrete information to suggest Apple would agree to make such concessions, references to "ChinaBrick" discovered in betas of iPhone Software 3.0 leave room for debate.
Apple could also approach China with a multi-carrier strategy, which turned out to be a healthy move in the land of Oz given that it led to increased competition, and ultimately more options for consumers, company officials told Wu during their meeting.
"In regards to new carriers beyond AT&T in the U.S., management commented that it remains happy with AT&T but that competition has been good and cited Australia as an example where there are three carriers carrying iPhone," Wu wrote.
94 Comments
It's not just the iPhone in particular that is in its infancy but the entire iPhone/Apps ecosystem. Apple really changed the ballgame and has all the other smartphone makers playing catch-up.
Apple started a new way of doing mobile computing. Thinking about it more now as I write this, perhaps it's the iPhone halo-effect that is in its infancy and the entire industry as a whole will have to re-think its strategies to compete on a new level.
I think the next 12-18 months will provide exciting opportunities in the industry as a whole.
... "Apple said that one thing would be a constant: iPhone will remain a software centric device." ...
And yet no matter how many times this is said, there will probably still be someone (maybe on this very thread!), who will say that the announcement about segmenting the market with multiple models means that Apple is going to make one with a physical keyboard.
What do you think...
If Apple stresses that the iPhone will be software centric as reported in AI's article, do you think that the iPhone can have one hardware but several iPhone OS's, like iPhone OS lite, iPhone OS, iPhone OS Pro? Of course that sounds too Microsoftish and their versions of their OS Vista... Basic, Home, Business, Premium, Extreme you get the point.
OR
Will Apple just have the one iPhone OS and have two or three physical handsets with different sizes, shapes, form factors, different chipsets, RAM, Memory, Price Points, etc.
EDIT: add a physical keyboard : )
It seems the option of multiple US carriers is out for the next year or so. What does anyone else think?
And
Does anyone think some of the above, either option, will be implemented this year?
I'd be interested to hear what others forecast what they think will happen in the next few months to the iPhone.
Take care ya'll.
Not only will their NOT be multiple iPhone OS's Apple are trying hard to unify the Mac and iPhone OS's as much as possible.
Apple likes its business goals to be nice and simple. Will they segment mobile products? Of course. Will they widen price points? Of course (they go together). Will they increase territories? Of course. Will they spread to multiple carriers? Of course. It ain't rocket science. The timing of all those things is much harder to predict however and will depend on developments that may be outside of Apple's control.
Its not the what its the when... that's the hard part.
What do you think...
If Apple stresses that the iPhone will be software centric as reported in AI's article, do you think that the iPhone can have one hardware but several iPhone OS's, like iPhone OS lite, iPhone OS, iPhone OS Pro? Of course that sounds too Microsoftish and their versions of their OS Vista... Basic, Home, Business, Premium, Extreme you get the point.
OR
Will Apple just have the one iPhone OS and have two or three physical handsets with different sizes, shapes, form factors, different chipsets, RAM, Memory, Price Points, etc.
EDIT: add a physical keyboard : )
It seems the option of multiple US carriers is out for the next year or so. What does anyone else think?
And
Does anyone think some of the above, either option, will be implemented this year?
I'd be interested to hear what others forecast what they think will happen in the next few months to the iPhone. ...
I think that it's obvious that there will be multiple devices in that there are already two right now (iPod touch and iPhone).
By saying it's "software centric" they imply that most or all of it's main features would be implemented in software, so that means variations between hardware models are likely to be size only or at least limited to the occasional extra sensor/button etc.
So there might be smaller ones (nano) and there might be larger ones (tablet), they will generally all be the same device. One would also expect that, they will all, (like the iPods) get smaller and thinner over time.
This means quite a huge range of possibilities and devices, but still rules out things like physical keyboards, sliders, spinners, flippers, etc.
All my opinion, YMMV.