Those are the the latest projections from Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster, whose numbers differ from the average expectations on Wall Street. Munster's 33 million iPhone projection is a bit higher than the Street's forecast of 30.5 million handsets, while his forecast of 12 million iPads is slightly below the Street's 13 million.
Munster also sees Apple reporting sales of 4.3 million Macs in the three-month span from January to March, slightly below Wall Street's expected 4.4 million.
If Apple's actual results are in line with the last four years, it will report 6 percent upside on its revenue, and 16 percent upside to earnings per share. That would imply March revenue of $38.3 billion and earnings per share of $11.41, compared to Wall Street expectations of $36.2 billion in revenue and $9.86 EPS.
On the iPhone, Munster said the record 37 million iPhones that Apple sold in the holiday season of 2011 is evidence of the handset's growing global footprint. He thinks the next major catalyst for the company will be the launch of a sixth-generation iPhone later this year, though he also expects Apple to announce a full-fledged television set late in the December quarter, with sales starting in 2013.
On the iPad, Munster said he isn't concerned that Apple may not meet the Street's expectations of 13 million units sold. He believes most investors will give the company a pass, given that the new iPad got off to a record start, with 3 million units sold in its first three days, in mid-March.
"We note that wait-times on Apple's online store remain at 1-2 weeks for all versions of the iPad, suggesting that healthy demand remains," he noted.
Piper Jaffray has reiterated its "overweight" rating for AAPL stock, and also maintained its $910 12-month price target. Earlier this month, Munster also predicted that Apple would become the world's first trillion-dollar company by market cap in calendar year 2014.
20 Comments
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I just want to know how much missed earnings is going to cause Apple shares to fall. I need to be prepared. Google missed a number and the stock climbed. If Apple misses anything, the stock will likely fall. The only quarter that can be counted on is the holiday quarter. Any other quarter and it's a 50/50 chance for shareholders to get some good news. Apple's share price has already been driven down the past few days and it doesn't look to rebound any time soon. Munster can't be depended upon for any accurate projections, so investors are no better off listening to his prattle. No investors are going to be giving Apple a pass if they miss iPad sales, that's for sure. There's far too many people on Wall Street happy to drive Apple's share price lower. Any minor sales miss will be seen as a disaster for Apple no matter how much revenue is pulled in.
I just want to know how much missed earnings is going to cause Apple shares to fall.
A lot. Sell now!
What is this analyst's track record in predicting Apple's quarterly numbers?
I think Apple has peaked. The quarterly results could be a real bloodbath for investors.