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iPhone's Q1 2019 share of EMEA market lowest in five years

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The smartphone market has stabilized in EMEA regions despite there being a contraction of sales in the Middle East, claims IDC, with Apple seen to be facing challenges from Chinese competitors as it sees its lowest level of market share in Europe for the first quarter in five years.

The region consisting of Europe, the Middle East, and Africa saw 83.7 million smartphone units ship in the first quarter of 2019, a drop of 3.3% year-on-year, which IDC suggests is a confirmation of a slowing market trend. In terms of revenue, the value of the market at $26.78 billion without sales tax is down further, seeing a decline of just over 10% from last year.

On a more granular basis, the Middle East saw the biggest decline of 18.8% in shipments and almost a third of its value. IDC reasons the "recent buoyancy in the oil price has so far failed to translate into more consumer confidence and exposure. After saw 6% growth while European volume remained relatively static.

Average sale prices are down across Western Europe, with a sharper drop in the Middle East. Central and Eastern Europe average sale prices have sustained over the years, though are barely more than half the value of Western Europe.

On a brand basis, Apple was considered to have a tough quarter, achieving a 23% market share across Europe from 7.8 million units shipped, which is the lowest Q1 result IDC has seen in the last five years. The unit shipment count for the region is down for Apple, with 22.73% fewer iPhones reportedly hitting the market.

Top 5 Smartphone Companies in Western, Central, and Eastern Europe —   Shipments, Market Share, and Year-Over-Year Growth, First-Quarter 2019, Units in Millions (via IDC) Top 5 Smartphone Companies in Western, Central, and Eastern Europe — Shipments, Market Share, and Year-Over-Year Growth, First-Quarter 2019, Units in Millions (via IDC)

Meanwhile Chinese brands Huawei and Xiaomi saw "incremental advances," and Samsung saw a moderate dip of market share to 29.47% from 30.76% in 2018, due to 6.82% fewer smartphones being shipped.

"The market has been changing in the last few quarters in relatively predictable ways," said IDC EMEA research manager Marta Pino. "Shipments have slowed as consumers hold onto devices for longer, Apple has been challenged with its latest devices, and Chinese manufacturers have been making strides each quarter."

Europe has become a focus of vendor concentration for the last few quarters, with smaller firms under considerable pressure and making it harder to see clearer trends. Huawei's blacklisting in the United States has also caused forecasting to be extremely difficult by making an unstable situation, even though it isn't something that directly impacts the European market.

In May, Apple was seen to have improved its shipments of iPads in the region, increasing its quarterly market share from 18.28% to 23.95% year-on-year, due to the launch of a new "budget" model and redesigned iPad Pros. The EMEA tablet market as a whole shrank 10.9%.

IDC's numbers are generally accurate for the overall smartphone market. While Apple has made comparisons hard as it no longer reports sales figures for the iPhone, the firm has historically under-estimated iPhone sales. However, even though it is historically off, it would take a fairly significant increase to change the overall results in this case.



22 Comments

macgui 18 Years · 2488 comments

Sorry, it's my fault. My 5s and SE are more than competent for my needs, and I really really dislike the size of iPhones larger. Even the 6/7 series is bigger than I want.

Apple's commitment to the Mac Pro fans a faint ember of hope that maybe the SE form factor will get a little love. I'm not talking Face ID or triple cameras, etc.

Just make it more than an afterthought for those of us who don't want a bigger phone. A current processor or maybe just one step behind, a better screen, maybe edge to edge?

Keep the 4/5/5s/SE shape, give it a buff (polished chamfered edges) breath on the performance a little, and update the look. And don't put a premium on the smaller size, a la iPad mini. Ouch.

2 Likes · 0 Dislikes
Latko 8 Years · 398 comments

Notsofast said:

Respected analyst Neil Cybart persuasively calls IDC numbers "embarrassingly" wrong,  and here's more from an article that discusses Cybart's refutation as well as an overall alleged pattern of intentionally misleading estimates from IDC.

IDC data is much more suspect than "historically underestimating iPhone sales."  Remember, no other phone manufacturer reports their actual sales figures so, ALL of its data is suspect and unverifiable.  

IDC's subset of publicly reported data isn't designed to give away valuable free information as a public service. Market research groups sell their reports to companies for $10,000 or more, so when they issue free bits of public data, journalists should review these reports with some healthy skepticism and consider why they're getting free data that tells such compelling stories. 

This is particularly the case because those stories are often wrong to the point of clearly not being just a mistake. There's a history of market data firms releasing bad data coached to make winners look like losers and losers look like winners. 

In fact, that's a primary goal of these groups, as history shows beyond a shadow of a doubt. These companies even admit that they work, not to enlighten the public with free data, but to help their paying clients with "influencing consumer behavior and buying preferences." 

We've caught IDC and other market research groups reporting estimated numbers that didn't align with Apple's actual data before, including massive underestimations of Mac sales as part of an overall misleading history
 of reporting in PC sales and of course in tablet sales."
https://roughlydraftedbeta.com/home/2019/5/2/idc-latest-estimate-of-q1-2019-iphone-sales-highly-inaccurate-to-the-point-of-embarrassing

Of course they’re wrong - nobody is right, as Apple doesn’t want salesnumbers (or anything potentially embarassing) to be publicly available

frantisek 12 Years · 760 comments

There are markets that are more price sensitive, like those. Apple increased prices because it brought more expensive components and knows that sales will be flat or go down so higher prices are way to keep profit. Market becomes saturated. I see many people using their 5s/SE. Me 5s. It is not speed demon, but usable. Question is whether Apple is able to build small phone with feature/design/price balance that would motivate people to dump their current small phones,.

Notsofast 9 Years · 450 comments

Latko said:
Notsofast said:

Respected analyst Neil Cybart persuasively calls IDC numbers "embarrassingly" wrong,  and here's more from an article that discusses Cybart's refutation as well as an overall alleged pattern of intentionally misleading estimates from IDC.

IDC data is much more suspect than "historically underestimating iPhone sales."  Remember, no other phone manufacturer reports their actual sales figures so, ALL of its data is suspect and unverifiable.  

IDC's subset of publicly reported data isn't designed to give away valuable free information as a public service. Market research groups sell their reports to companies for $10,000 or more, so when they issue free bits of public data, journalists should review these reports with some healthy skepticism and consider why they're getting free data that tells such compelling stories. 

This is particularly the case because those stories are often wrong to the point of clearly not being just a mistake. There's a history of market data firms releasing bad data coached to make winners look like losers and losers look like winners. 

In fact, that's a primary goal of these groups, as history shows beyond a shadow of a doubt. These companies even admit that they work, not to enlighten the public with free data, but to help their paying clients with "influencing consumer behavior and buying preferences." 

We've caught IDC and other market research groups reporting estimated numbers that didn't align with Apple's actual data before, including massive underestimations of Mac sales as part of an overall misleading history
 of reporting in PC sales and of course in tablet sales."
https://roughlydraftedbeta.com/home/2019/5/2/idc-latest-estimate-of-q1-2019-iphone-sales-highly-inaccurate-to-the-point-of-embarrassing
Of course they’re wrong - nobody is right, as Apple doesn’t want salesnumbers (or anything potentially embarassing) to be publicly available

LOL. The main problem with your conspiracy theory is that NO COMPANY reports their sales numbers of smart phones.

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