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JP Morgan raises AAPL price target to $150, with room to grow

Credit: Andrew O'Hara, AppleInsider

JP Morgan has raised its 12-month price AAPL target to $150 after Apple's four-for-one split, noting that there are still significant upsides to the stock despite its already rich valuation.

In a note to investors seen by AppleInsider, lead analyst Samik Chatterjee said that while Apple's rich valuation may no longer be an easy entry point to AAPL, there are still plenty of upcoming drivers and catalysts that "will make it difficult for investors to step away."

While the $2 trillion milestone was a significant one for Apple, the fact that the Cupertino company achieved crossed that threshold in a year disrupted by COVID-19 "testifies to the recurring nature of not only its Services, but also its Products."

The upcoming "iPhone 12" lineup, for example, should offer additional upside beyond current investor expectations due to a wider range of price points.

Apple's flagship hardware product is proving itself resilient despite coronavirus disruptions, but the switch to remote working has stirred tailwinds for tablet and laptop sales — something the analyst believe could be another driver of revenue and earnings.

Chatterjee adds that investors are likely banking on potential revenue and earnings upside to justify the premium multiple, since shares of AAPL are trading at around a 30x price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple.

Apple's valuation premium is justified, Chatterjee says, by the potential for both earnings upside and by free cash flow metrics. The uptick in the company's forward P/E trading multiples has been driven by confidence in Apple's sustainability, and Chatterjee says that demonstrates "ample opportunity to drive growth through replacement of the large installed base."

As far as other catalysts, the analyst says there are two that will be tough for investors to ignore. Namely, the upcoming "iPhone 12" launch event, as well as expected moderation of the trade tensions between U.S. and China if there's a change in the current U.S. administration.

Chatterjee has revised JP Morgan's Dec. 2021 price target to $150, up from $115 post-split. That's based on a Dec. 2022 earnings-per-share estimate of $4.96 and a blended P/E multiple of around 30x.

Shares of AAPL are currently trading at $131.24 on Tuesday in intra-day trading.



2 Comments

GeorgeBMac 11421 comments · 8 Years

Today the S&P's PE ratio was over 30 -- about double its long term average.
Combine that with the fact that it is being propped up by high flying FANG stocks while mainstream stocks languish and you have what would normally be a volatile situation.

But, all of that risk was offset when the Fed unleashed a barrage of QE and ZIRP that has money sloshing around in the system looking for a place to land.  And then, last week, topping it off by announcing their new "Damn the inflation, Full Speed ahead!" policy where they will keep the stimuli going until inflation gets completely and totally out of control -- so probably somewhere around the next 5 to 10 years.

Those buying Apple Stock are betting on the Fed more than Apple.
In other news, after saying earlier he didn't see anything he wanted to buy, Warren Buffet bought a bunch of Japanese stuff this week...

So, in other words, "Enjoy the ride!".   While it lasts (which could be years).


carnegie 1082 comments · 10 Years

Today the S&P's PE ratio was over 30 -- about double its long term average.
Combine that with the fact that it is being propped up by high flying FANG stocks while mainstream stocks languish and you have what would normally be a volatile situation.

But, all of that risk was offset when the Fed unleashed a barrage of QE and ZIRP that has money sloshing around in the system looking for a place to land.  And then, last week, topping it off by announcing their new "Damn the inflation, Full Speed ahead!" policy where they will keep the stimuli going until inflation gets completely and totally out of control -- so probably somewhere around the next 5 to 10 years.

Those buying Apple Stock are betting on the Fed more than Apple.
In other news, after saying earlier he didn't see anything he wanted to buy, Warren Buffet bought a bunch of Japanese stuff this week...

So, in other words, "Enjoy the ride!".   While it lasts (which could be years).


Berkshire didn't buy those Japanese positions this week. They've been accumulated over the last year. The positions have now gotten large enough that Berkshire has to report them to Japanese regulators. That's why they were just announced.

That said, Berkshire did buy a little bit (of equities) in the second quarter while selling, among other things, a lot of airline and bank stock.