Though the introductory price point of Apple's new iPhone device is a steep $499, an analyst for American Technology Research believes the company is likely to follow a similar strategy to the iPod, starting out with high-end units and then working its way down to more affordable models.
Wu said it would not come as a surprise to see simpler Apple-branded cell phones in the future at much more aggressive price points. "We believe AAPL will likely follow its iPod strategy, which is to start out at the high-end and then trickle down to mid-range and low-end," he said.
Overall, the analyst says he is "very impressed with iPhone and its minimalist touchscreen design," but finds the functionality much more ambitious and aggressive than we anticipated for a first phone.
Of all the analysts chiming in on Apple these days, Wu was one of the most vocal in his convictions that an Apple handset was growing increasingly near. However, as he conceded in his note to clients Wednesday morning, he did not foresee the initial product as a single device that would act as widescreen video iPod, a cell phone, and a mini Mac running Mac OS X.
"We had picked up from our supply chain sources a candy bar form factor, widescreen technology, and Bluetooth, however, we did not anticipate it to be just one device," he said.
In terms of functionality, Wu said the iPhone's multi-touch interface, full-page web browsing, free Yahoo e-mail access, widescreen digital media player, and tight integration with iTunes are some of its most compelling and competitive differentiators. He sees such features delivering success over similar but now less capable alternatives in the Sony Walkman phone, LG Chocolate, and Samsung BlackJack.
And while the analyst admits that choosing Cingular as its exclusive wireless carrier in the US reduces Apple's control over the iPhone experience, he believes it "is the right move and a less risky strategy" than forming its own mobile virtual network operator (MVNO).
"Arguably, AAPL has less control over the experience, but it will stick with its core competencies â which is making and marketing the best hardware and software â while Cingular will handle the service and billing," he wrote.
Wu maintained his Buy rating on shares of Apple with a price target of $99.
48 Comments
why is every one so upset that apple went with cingular. is there network so much worse than any other. people say that the price is high but it is mostley just sticker shock. if you lumped together a ipod nano cellphone and blackberry like device combined their prices is about the same as apples iphone.
The iPhone is priced too high for most people. It will be very hard to achieve the stated goal of 1% market share (mind you, the smart phone market is much smaller) unless cheaper phones are on their way and/or the phones will be subsidized by Cingular (like all other phones) along with a 2 year contract.
this seems very resonable!
Also if you look at Apple.com, they have put the iphone in its own new catagory. Not with the ipod products.
And when they launch a cheap ipod nano style of phone, thats when they are REALLY gonna get a grab of much more than 1% of the mobile market.
imagine like 5% of the market. That would be 50 million units sold a year!
insane
iPhone is tab worthy!
I think this is what we will see in 2008
iPhone Phone + iPod + Internet $399 & $499 (MWSF Jan 2008)
iPhone nano Phone + iPod (no video) $299 (MWSF Jan 2008)
iPhone hello Phone + iPod shuffle $199 (Oct 2008)
Steve had to get the iPhone name because it makes it easy for people who are already familiar with the iPod line up to understand the iPhone line up.
I think the Apple TV and iPhone are both great products, but is there another conference coming up where they might introduce an iWork and iLife upgrade? I would love to see some Blu-Ray burning capabilities on iDVD and could use an EXCELish app on my iWork.
Would they release those silently?
The iPhone is priced too high for most people. It will be very hard to achieve the stated goal of 1% market share (mind you, the smart phone market is much smaller) unless cheaper phones are on their way and/or the phones will be subsidized by Cingular (like all other phones) along with a 2 year contract.
The price for the phones is the subsidized price with a 2 year contract. Also, the price is high, but then again, Grandma doesn't need the iPhone, but someone who carries a Palm, a cell phone and an iPod nano is probably going to pay it without blinking because it combines the three devices into one. I expect we'll see a lot more advancement in the software as the months go by. They have me sold ... come on Apple, only 9,999,999 more people to go!!!!
On another note, I was kinda irked by the name change. I understand why they're doing it, but I hope Apple continues to devote its LARGER focus to the Mac and OS X....