Speaking to clients in a research note Wednesday, Kaufman Bros. analyst Shaw Wu said sources within the Cupertino-based company's supply chain and distribution channels are seeing a "stronger-than-expected reception" to new iMacs, Mac minis and Mac Pros announced last week.
"We find this quite impressive in light of very difficult macroeconomic conditions," he wrote, noting that Mac build plans have been increased as a result. "If current rates keep up, we believe Street estimates looking for 2.2 million-2.3 million Macs for the March quarter could turn out conservative."
In particular, Wu said feedback on the new Mac mini from distribution sources has been "surprisingly positive." And while he was hoping to see Apple drop the system's price alongside the refresh, he now concedes that "perhaps $599 is a decent entry point" given that the new minis sport faster processors, larger hard drives, and much faster NVIDIA graphics chips.
The analyst even went as far as to equate the petite desktops to a premium sub-compact automobile alongside predictions that the new models could "turn out to be a surprise dark horse hit" of the Mac maker's desktop line.
"To us, the new Mac mini is like a Mini Cooper, a premium small form factor product but with decent horsepower. We believe the Mac mini could turn out to be a surprise dark horse hit," he wrote.
Wu, who was responsible for some of the off-base reports (1, 2) of quad-core iMacs leading up to last week's launch, says he believes Apple made the right move by sticking with Core 2 Duo processors in the refreshed line of all-in-one desktops, which "provide plenty of power" for the majority of users.
As for the first quad-core iMacs, he now says he's hearing a likely introduction in the "summer or fall time frame" to better coincide with the release of Mac OS X 10.6 Snow Leopard, which will be optimized to take advantage of systems with more than two processing cores.
In the same research note, the analyst also cited "sources" who tell him Apple is working on a couple of new initiatives, namely a "smaller MacBook Air" and "larger iPod touch." The commentary, which seem more like speculation, suggests the former could arrive as "MacBook mini" and serve as the company's answer to the netbook segment.
Shares of Apple, which came under immense pressure Friday and Monday when a pair of analysts trimmed their outlook on the company citing concerns of slowing sales amid an ailing economy, have risen more than 10 percent in the last 48 hours — after rising some 6.6 percent on Tuesday to close at $88.63, shares are up another 5.16 percent in Wednesday morning Nasdaq trading to $93.20.
In light of the positive momentum driven by new iMacs and Mac minis, Wu maintained his Buy rating and $120 price target on shares of Apple.
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52 Comments
I really have to say heaven help Kaufman Bros if Shaw Wu is indictaive of the calibre of their anylists. Over time reading his "anylisis" he seems to be constantly off the mark and then quickly changes his mind in line with what has occured rather than what is he anticipated would occur. Most posters on this forum seem to have more insight than this guy.
Aside from Wu's analysis, I'm going to put it out there that this latest iteration of the Mini is the first time it's actually had good enough hardware to be a decent machine that can stack up against PCs.
The iMac catalyst is the additional 3% appleinsider discount @ club mac.
I really have to say heaven help Kaufman Bros if Shaw Wu is indictaive of the calibre of their anylists. Over time reading his "anylisis" he seems to be constantly off the mark and then quickly changes his mind in line with what has occured rather than what is he anticipated would occur. Most posters on this forum seem to have more insight than this guy.
We do....Wu's making a killing off of scraping AI for info (baseless speculation hehehe)
It doesn't take a Rocket Scientist to know that there was pent up demand for a decent mini. Hell i'm seeing significant interest in using them as HTPC.
Apple needs to continue to bang out the hardware and make said hardware a good value for most. Then they can focus on turning those hardware numbers into iTunes and App store eye popping numbers.
No one is monetizing their online services as well as Apple right now but they've got to keep the poker in the fire.
In particular, Wu said feedback on the new Mac mini from distribution sources has been "surprisingly positive."
Gee, that wouldn't be due to 18 months of pent-up demand, would it?
/bought two