Various sites this week relayed a report from Chinese-language ccidcom.com, which cited a company filing that allegedly revealed China Mobile has entered an agreement with Apple to sell the iPhone 4 at the end of October. China Mobile is the largest mobile carrier in the world with 611 million wireless subscribers, controlling 68 percent of the total wireless market in China.
Reacting to the rumors on Friday, analyst Mike Abramsky with RBC Capital Markets said an iPhone launch with China Mobile could equate to an additional 2 million to 3 million units sold at the end of 2011, or between 8 percent and 12 percent of total iPhone shipments.
Abramsky expects smartphone shipments in China will increase 57 percent to 87 million in calendar year 2012, and he believes nearly 70 percent of those shipments will be on China Mobile's network alone. He noted that even though the iPhone is not officially available with China Mobile, there are more than 6 million "grey market" handsets from Apple active on the network.
Currently, the iPhone is only available on China Unicom's network, where it went on sale in 2009. Apple's handset got off to a slow start, due in part to the grey market for iPhones, as well as the fact that government regulators blocked the inclusion of Wi-Fi on the device in favor of a homegrown standard.
But the iPhone's popularity in the country improved immensely in 2010, culminating in the launch of the iPhone 4 last September. Strong demand for the handset led to it being sold out for months.
Last month, AppleInsider uncovered an unverified photo purportedly showing an iPhone 4 running on China Mobile's 3G network. Additionally, Apple COO Tim Cook was reportedly seen visiting the wireless operator's headquarters last month, fueling rumors that the two companies are nearing a deal.
Apple's growth in China has been an important piece of the company's business in recent months, amounting to $9 billion alone this year. That trend is expected to continue upward, with China's smartphone market estimated to be worth $70 billion total.
16 Comments
So is the consensus a separate model that is GSM/TD-SCDMA or a Qualcomm Gobi chip that supports GSM/CDMA/HS*PA/CDMA2000/TD-SCDMA?
I think it's awesome that chinese are buying iPhones. I was sure that china would be dominated by Android / ZTE combination. After all chinese could make really nice hardware knockoffs of the iPhone since gen1, but were lacking in software. With android they could finally make a coherent product.
Perhaps iPhone 4 will be discounted as the 3GS was and foxxconn workers could enjoy the "fruits" of their labor.
Might be time to consider localizing apps in Cantonese and/or Mandarin... anyone have stats on app purchasing in China?
So abramsky is already trying to mitigate sales of the iphone. CHL already has six million iphones on their network. Imagine how many will purchase an official one. 3 million at the end of 2012 is utterly ridiculous. These anals know that now, apple has the potential of selling 40 million iphones and 15 million ipads per quarter. These two products alone would mean $36 billion in revenue per quarter. that alone would mean at least $9 billion in net earnings per Q or $9.50 in eps per Q.
So abramsky is already trying to mitigate sales of the iphone. CHL already has six million iphones on their network. Imagine how many will purchase an official one. 3 million at the end of 2012 is utterly ridiculous. These anals know that now, apple has the potential of selling 40 million iphones and 15 million ipads per quarter. These two products alone would mean $36 billion in revenue per quarter. that alone would mean at least $9 billion in net earnings per Q or $9.50 in eps per Q.
ATTN AI THE EAGLE HAS LANDED!!! and of all places in CHINA!!!! *(now-if only other US american companies could innovate and create something the Chinese want so desperately that we can make $$ off them-
Hmmm... Now that's a thought..
Oh, WAIT... the iPhone is actually made in China- so do they send them back to Apple in California and then Apple ships them back to China???)