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Apple's June quarter predicted to be 'neutral event' for stock price, 'good enough' for investors

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Tuesday's earnings report from Apple is expected by Wall Street analysts to be essentially a non-event — nothing serious enough to make the stock price jump, but also nothing negative enough to see shares slide significantly.

Previewing Apple's June quarter results, Gene Munster of Piper Jaffray told investors that low expectations will likely make the company's Tuesday earnings call a "largely neutral event." He believes Wall Street expects Apple to report an in-line June quarter, and to guide sales down about 5 percent for the following September quarter.

Separately, analyst Timothy Arcuri of Cowen and Company also issued a note forecasting "not great but good enough" June quarter earnings from Apple. He noted that while investors currently have a negative outlook, he sees that changing to "cautious optimism about the future."

Wall Street consensus, according to Piper Jaffray, sees Apple's June quarter revenue at $42.2 billion, with gross margins of 37.9 percent. The market expects Apple to have sold about 40 million iPhones, 9.1 million iPads, and 4.4 million Macs.

Looking forward to the September quarter, market consensus hopes to see Apple guide $46 billion in revenue and 38.3 percent gross margin. Expected iPhone sales for the quarter are at 43.1 million.

Piper Jaffray's own estimates for the June quarter are slightly above the market, projecting revenue of $42.3 billion and gross margins at 38 percent. Cowen and Company, meanwhile, is on the lower end with $41.8 billion in revenue.

Apple will report the results of its fiscal third quarter of 2016 on Tuesday after markets close. The company has scheduled a earnings call with analysts and members of the press for 2 p.m. Pacific, 5 p.m. Eastern, and AppleInsider will provide full, live coverage of the event.



10 Comments

asdasd 22 Years · 5682 comments

Its next year we have to worry about until the new iPhone designs come out. 

SpamSandwich 20 Years · 32917 comments

The company continues to haul in unprecedented profits, yet Tim cannot cheerlead enough to get the stock back up over $100.

1 Like · 0 Dislikes
slprescott 11 Years · 759 comments

asdasd said:
Its next year we have to worry about until the new iPhone designs come out. 

The silver lining may be that Wall Street values a stock based on FUTURE earings potential... and delaying a major upgrade of the iPhone to next year pushes it into that 'future' category.  Possibly Wall Street will view that as a positive (for next year)?

mubaili 14 Years · 454 comments

there is no such thing as neutral event for stock price. It will drop at least 5% if the iPhone sales disappoint.

2 Likes · 0 Dislikes
kermit4krazy 9 Years · 86 comments

Not a chance. They will absolutely miss estimates and the stock will take a 5-10% beating, regardless of the PE ratio. Prospects just aren't sounding good. There were no worthwhile hardware updates in the June quarter, and watch sales fell off a cliff. China sales are in free fall, and people are dying to jump out of the stock at this point, at least to wait until they see the next iPhone.