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Earnings preview: Wall Street expects 57M iPhones shipped in a record March quarter for Apple

Apple is once again expected to have set a new quarterly record in March when it announces earnings this afternoon, with investors on average expecting blockbuster iPhone sales to drive about $56 billion in revenue.

Apple will report the results of its March quarter after markets close later today. According to analyst Gene Munster of Piper Jaffray, Wall Street estimates call for the company to have shipped about 57 million iPhones in the three-month span.

That would easily set a new record for the company — in the same quarter a year ago, Apple shipped a then-best 43.7 million iPhones.

Beyond the iPhone, a big part of today's call is expected to be Apple's reassessment of its massive capital return program, which includes both a quarterly dividend and a share buyback program.

Munster believes Apple will have a "headline number" of about $170 billion for its revamped capital return program. The company had a massive $179 billion in cash at the end of the preceding December quarter.

Apple first announced a $45 billion capital reinvestment program in March of 2012, funding a quarterly dividend and share repurchases. The company increased its plan to $100 billion in April of 2013.

Remaining consensus for the March quarter calls for Apple to have shipped 14 million iPads and 4.7 million Macs. Investors generally expect gross margins of about 39.5 percent, which would be on the high end of Apple's guidance range.

And while analysts will undoubtedly be clamoring for sales figures on the Apple Watch, it's highly unlikely that Apple will provide any hard data on the newly debuted product during today's call. Friday's launch falls under the June quarter, and Apple has already said it will not be giving out unit numbers for the wearable device.

Revenue excluding foreign exchange is expected on Wall Street to be $56 billion, while reported revenue including foreign exchange should be about $54 billion. Apple's guidance for the March quarter was between $52 billion and $55 billion. Finally, investors expect earnings per share to be around $2.12.

Apple will report its March quarter results this afternoon after markets close. The company's executive team will then hold a conference call with analysts and members of the media at 2 p.m. Pacific, 5 p.m. Eastern. AppleInsider will have full coverage.



27 Comments

dr millmoss 15 Years · 5382 comments

Consensus EPS is $2.16 The $2.12 number cited here is Munster's forecast only, not what investors are expecting. Investors will be looking for around $2.35.

blah64 18 Years · 989 comments

RadarTheKat, how are you playing this quarter's earnings report? I ask because I seem to remember you played the volatility angle last quarter and did well, and it seems to be shaping up similarly, no? Bloomberg reports: A Chicago Board Options Exchange volatility gauge for Apple shares has jumped 42 percent since a low in March, while a measure of Nasdaq 100 swings has fallen 2.3 percent. The Apple VIX closed at 2.4 times the level of the Nasdaq 100 VIX last week, the highest ratio between the two since October 2013.

thewhitefalcon 10 Years · 4444 comments

I'll be looking to sell after this report, so here's hoping we get a price spike.

MacPro 18 Years · 19845 comments

[quote name="sog35" url="/t/185998/earnings-preview-wall-street-expects-57m-iphones-shipped-in-a-record-march-quarter-for-apple#post_2716215"]Good time to buy if you are not too heavy in Apple. $150 price target for this year. Right now I have $45k in Apple stock so I'm too heavy to buy anymore shares. [/quote] What are you talking about I've more than 20 x times that and don't feel too loaded and still buying more!

slurpy 15 Years · 5390 comments

Quote:
Originally Posted by sog35 
 

 

My general rule is I don't invest more than 20% of my investments in a single stock.  

 

I did break my general rule in 2013 when the price was ridiculously cheap.

 

What percentage of your investments are in Apple?

 

I've got pretty much the exact same thing. Best investment I've ever made. Rest of my portfolio is trash.