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Analyst offers update on iPod nano delays

Apple Computer continues to face transition issues with its next-generation iPod nano digital music player due to architectural changes and may not be ready introduce the device until October, according to one Wall Street analyst.

In a research note released to clients on Monday morning, American Technology Research analyst Shaw Wu maintained his stance that the new iPod nano — which he has dubbed the "mini video iPod" — will miss the Street's consensus view of a July or August introduction.

"We continue to believe that the new iPod nano (aka mini vPod) refreshes are facing transition issues due to an architecture move to an SoC vs. its present 3-chip solution," Wu wrote. "In terms of timing, we continue to believe calendar Q4 is most likely, specifically October and at the earliest, late Q3, meaning the second half of September."

The analyst has also picked up leads independent of AppleInsider, which suggest that Apple will revert back to metal enclosures with the next-generation nano.

"An interesting data point we have picked up on the new nanos is a new magnesium-based casing," he said. "We believe this new casing will improve scratch-resistance, durability, and help lower Apple's support and warranty costs."

Meanwhile, Wu speculates that Apple chief executive Steve Jobs is likely to focus his upcoming World Wide Developers Conference keynote exclusively on the Mac, refraining from any iPod related announcements.

Specifically, the analyst expects Jobs to announced that Apple's last two Mac product lines — Pro desktops and servers — will be making the move to Intel processors.

"In addition, we anticipate a preview on Mac OS X 10.5 Leopard, its next-generation operating system that will one up Microsoft Vista," he wrote. "With respect to Steve Jobs' track record and element of surprise, we are prepared to see something that no one anticipated."

Wu maintains a "Buy" rating on Apple shares with a price target of $75.



39 Comments

scotty321 20 Years · 312 comments

How can it be a delayed product if Apple never announced it? Analysts are STUPID and offer little value to society.

booga 21 Years · 1081 comments

Quote:
Originally posted by scotty321
How can it be a delayed product if Apple never announced it? Analysts are STUPID and offer little value to society.

"the new iPod nano ... will miss the Street's consensus view of a July or August introduction"

Investors invest based on their opinion of what will happen to the company over the next couple of quarters, regardless of what the company announces. The consensus view was July/August, which is presumably then what is factored into Apple's current share price. If the nano isn't released until Q4, the risk is higher that revenues won't be met short-term, and that competitors are more likely to "catch up".

It's all about target audience. The target audience for these analysts are not users or geeks, but investors.

SpamSandwich 19 Years · 32917 comments

Quote:
Originally posted by Booga
It's all about target audience. The target audience for these analysts are not users or geeks, but investors.

As part of that target audience, I think they mostly do a lousy job. I get better information from AppleInsider.

minderbinder 18 Years · 1702 comments

Quote:
Originally posted by AppleInsider
"We continue to believe that the new iPod nano (aka mini vPod)...

"Mini vPod"? Sheesh. And this guy expects to get taken seriously??

crees! 21 Years · 501 comments

Quote:
Originally posted by minderbinder
"Mini vPod"? Sheesh. And this guy expects to get taken seriously??

My thoughts exactly.