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Apple shares clawing back, after $638 billion in value is destroyed

Apple stocks over the last month, shown on an Apple Watch

Ahead of the markets opening on April 8, 2025, Apple stock has inched into positive territory after Trump's tariff announcement knocked the entire value of Visa or WalMart out of the company.

Apple has continued to be punched by Trump's tariffs, despite claims its inescapable price rises could be a lower than expected. On its third consecutive market day, Apple was further hit by the news of a 104% tariff on everything it imports from China.

The continued impact for Apple came despite the overall stock market doing better on this third day. According to CNBC, of the major technology firms, only Apple, Microsoft, and Tesla were down again on April 7.

Describing it as a "rout," CNBC says that this downdraft has wiped out $638 billion from Apple's market cap, exclusively because of Trump's tariffs.

This means that in three market days, Apple has lost more than the value of Visa or Mastercard, and close to the value of Walmart. Its drop is greater than the combined value of Coca-Cola and Home Depot.

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If Apple had spent the money instead, it could have bought Samsung 2.7 times over. Or it could have bought its historic rival, IBM, thrown in McDonald's and PepsiCo, and still had some change left over.

What's happening now

In overnight trading, though, Apple shares rose by 1.22% to $183.67. While the market has been extraordinarily volatile — rebounding on rumors, only to crash again — it's possible Apple saw a benefit from a report that it may import more iPhones from India.

This goes against Trump's stated aim of bringing manufacturing back to the US. But given the cost of such a move, the years it would take, and the lack of skilled labor in the States, reshoring iPhones to India could be the best of the options available to Apple.

Such a move would expose Apple to lower tariffs — or at least it would at present. With tariffs able to be doubled on Trump's word, there is no more way for Apple to be certain of getting lower tariffs than there is for it to avoid them at all.

Apple's entire supply chain is vulnerable

Apple is particularly vulnerable to the tariffs as while US firms and consumers may now be paying double for goods imported from China, Apple is more dependent on that country than most. This is despite billions of dollars being spent over many years to cut down on its over-reliance on China.

Consequently, while pre-market trading has seen the first even slight rise for Apple, it is a rise from an extraordinarily low point. CNBC calculates that over the first three market days since the tariffs were announced, Apple shares have lost 19% of their value.

While Apple is facing having to pay 104% more for goods imported from China, the rest of its supply chain is impacted as well. Absolutely every country that Apple relies on for manufacturing is seeing radical increases in costs.

That includes the US, as despite TSMC manufacturing processors for Apple in Arizona, those chips need imported materials and are also finished in Taiwan, until the AMKOR finishing plant comes on line.

17 Comments

blastdoor 16 Years · 3751 comments

The China risk for Apple is huge. China is likely to stand up to Trump in more ways than one. I think the probability of a Taiwan blockade has gone up a lot.

Apple will survive, but profits and the stock price have a long ways to fall. 

3 Likes · 0 Dislikes
ssfe11 1 Year · 144 comments

Nah. Apple and Tim are supply chain and diplomatic geniuses. They will mitigate this tariff nonsense to minimal impact. 

2 Likes · 2 Dislikes
DAalseth 7 Years · 3256 comments

@ssfe11 ,
@blastdoor ,
I think you’re both right. It will be a rough patch for Apple and everyone else, but I can think of nobody better to deal with this chaos than TC & Co. 

2 Likes · 0 Dislikes
linkman 12 Years · 1052 comments

I'm convinced this morning is the lowest AAPL we'll see. So convinced that I spent all of my remaining brokerage cash account on it. Cook knows how to master Apple's supply chain and it is extremely likely he was prepared for these tariffs several months ago.

nubus 9 Years · 777 comments

linkman said:
I'm convinced this morning is the lowest AAPL we'll see. So convinced that I spent all of my remaining brokerage cash account on it. Cook knows how to master Apple's supply chain and it is extremely likely he was prepared for these tariffs several months ago.

Cook is a master COO but he bet everything on China before spending billions on diversification into countries that will also be hit. This will hit the margins. Add the inflation and unemployment - and consumers will globally have less to spend on products from Apple. They need bread more than they need a new phone.

China forced Google to leave but I don't see China hit Apple directly. Instead local apps could "decide" not to be available on iOS. My bet is on China soon finding a problem with Tesla causing a massive recall. Musk is simply too easy a target. American brands won't have an easy time in China but Tesla could go first.

EU will move the war to services from early next week. With Apple being responsible for 0.009% of all jobs in the EU there is nothing for the EU politicians to be worried about. EU politicians are to be elected in 2029 = they have plenty of time.