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Drop in Apple stock blamed on anticipated capital gains tax hike [u]

AAPL stock performance versus S&P 500. | Chart via Reuters

Last updated

After reaching a record high in September, Apple stock has suffered nearly eight straight weeks of losses as investors bail out ahead of potential capital gains tax hikes that could hit as early as next year.


Editor's Note: This article has been modified to reflect the expected 2013 reversion to the 20 percent U.S. capital gains tax of 2003. This article incorrectly stated that the rate would increase to 35 percent.

As noted by Reuters, AAPL stock has lost a quarter of its value, underperforming the S&P 500 average which saw a 7 percent decline over the same period.

Since its mid-September high of $705.07, the stock dropped precipitously and closed Friday at $527.68, losing some $170 billion in market capitalization. The publication pointed out that the market cap dropped is worth more than the entirety of Coca-Cola.

With a market value of around $493 billion, Apple still stands as the most valuable company in the world and leads second-place U.S. stock Exxon by about $100 billion.

The stock's fall may be attributed to a dumping of assets as investors prepare for a likely rise in capital gains and dividends taxes as part of a program to cut the U.S. deficit. Also part of the supposed deal is a round of government spending cuts, however high-income taxpayers are expected to take the brunt of the increases.

Because of Apple's meteoric rise, investors could be looking to sell the stock now to protect against the feared capital gains tax bumps by locking in earnings to offset the higher rates next year. The current 15 percent tax on dividends and capital gains is scheduled to reset by the end of the year, and will change to the 35 percent rate levied on normal income.

It appears that uncertainty over how the government will handle the so-called fiscal cliff is dissuading investors from picking up Apple stock at its current relatively undervalued price.

Once legislators decide on a future plan and the U.S. fiscal outlook is solidified, Apple shares are likely to start gaining traction once again, as many analysts still see the stock as being worth between $700 to $850.



134 Comments

waldobushman 15 Years · 774 comments

Ridiculous. All stockholders who want to churn their holdings will hopefully pay more taxes, including me if I decide to sell any of my stock holding. If I hold stock, the increase in tax on capital affects me not at all. It's not as though owning stock has any beneficial on the company or real investments to improve a company's productivity. That comes out of a company's revenue, not stock value.

anantksundaram 18 Years · 20391 comments

I don't believe a word of this. Afaik, capital gains rates are supposed to go from 15% to 20% (not 35%). That can't explain the 25% drop. I think it has to do, rightly or wrongly, with the market's perception that -- and an ironic one, at that -- Tim Cook is doing a lousy job of the supply chain and not making enough to fill demand.

pfisher 12 Years · 758 comments

People don't expect Apple to grow as much, or their fast growth feels like old news. Or Android taking over by a large amount. Who knows. 

 

I'm glad I didn't buy into the hype. Buy, buy, buy!!!

 

Who knows. Psychology is a hard thing to understand.

 

Could be the fiscal cliff and all of that psychobabble. Fear.

 

Apple went down more than most?

solipsismx 13 Years · 19562 comments

[quote name="anantksundaram" url="/t/154367/drop-in-apple-stock-blamed-on-anticipated-capital-gains-tax-hike#post_2233800"]I don't believe a word of this. Afaik, capital gains rates are supposed to go from 15% to 20% (not 35%). That can't explain the 25% drop. I think it has to do, rightly or wrongly, with the market's perception that -- and an ironic one, at that -- Tim Cook is doing a lousy job of the supply chain and not making enough to fill demand.[/quote] The guy that made Apple's supply chain function so smoothly and efficiently despite their recordbreaking growth and success that landed Cook the position as CEO... is now gonna fail because Cook is CEO. Ironic, indeed.