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Apple A-Z » People

Ming-Chi Kuo

Ming-Chi Kuo

Ming-Chi Kuo is a renowned Apple analyst, with over 10 years of experience reporting on Apple with data from the supply chain. Much of what we learn about upcoming products, delays, and potential price points are derived from Kuo's reports.

● Analyst at TF International
● KGI from 2013-2018
● Started career at Digitimes in 2010
● Well respected analyst with a good track record
● Reported many of the iPhone X details first
● Connections throughout the supply chain


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This page no-longer contains up-to date information about Ming-Chi Kuo's predictions. His active presence on X and Medium make tracking his every call more difficult, so keep an eye on AppleInsider's main coverage for details.

Kuo remains a highly-accurate source of supply chain information and rumors.


Ming-Chi Kuo has been a reliable source of solid data on Apple products over the years. Despite Tim Cook insisting that supply-chain-sourced data is a terrible way to make predictions, Kuo's track record is very high.

Kuo's strong points as a leaker are device-specific details and specs. These can sometimes include finer points like color, size, chipsets, and ports. Device names and release dates are often decided too late in production to be predicted accurately. His accuracy is historically strong, with some reports coming to fruition years after his predictions.

Financial Guidance

Ming-Chi Kuo not only uses obtained data to predict future Apple products but provides guidance for how well a product might sell. He arrives at these numbers based on volumes of component orders, then derives what they expect to sell based on previous supply chain inventory reports.

These reports can be accurate, but as Apple's supply chain is very diverse, knowing one product component order doesn't always provide the fullest picture.

Ming-Chi Kuo's Product Predictions

The following are historical predictions made by Ming-Chi Kuo.

iPhone upgrades

Apple didn't remove the Lightning port in the iPhone 13 or iPhone 14 as early predictions suggested. Apple was then rumored to move to USB-C in the iPhone 15, which came to pass in 2023.

Kuo was among the first to predict that the iPhone 14 Pro would have a 48MP camera sensor. He has a strong record for hardware-related leaks.

The iPhone 15 had been rumored to feature an under-display Touch ID sensor, but Kuo has pulled back on that prediction. Kuo also predicted Apple would improve zoom capabilities on iPhone 15 Pro Max, but called it a periscope camera instead of the tetraprism system that is used.

"iPhone Fold" could launch in 2024 or later with an 8-inch QHD display. Kuo expects foldable iPhones to drive the next super cycle.

"Apple Glass" and Apple Vision Pro

Before the Jon Prosser leak surrounding "Apple Glass" and its release, Kuo was reporting on the technology. There are two distinct devices in the Apple Vision pipeline. One is an AR or mixed-reality headset that supports both VR and AR called Apple Vision Pro. The other is a set of glasses, or "Apple Glass."

Apple Vision Pro is Apple's first Spatial Computing device Apple Vision Pro is Apple's first Spatial Computing device

The rumors shifted over time from a headset that would rely heavily on iPhone to a standalone device running Apple Silicon. Ultimately, many of Kuo's reports proved accurate.

The VR headset was expected to have 15 cameras for environment and object tracking. It was also rumored to feature a passthrough mode that lets wearers see the environment around them.

Apple Vision Pro has 12 cameras and multiple environment sensors, it also has much more than a passthrough mode, the main experience is built around AR. Kuo expects a future model will weigh less than a pound, while the first model is quoted as "heavy" by wearers, but the weight isn't known.

Kuo's timeline for Spatial Computing suggests an Apple Glass full AR device is still coming at a later date, with contacts the ultimate eventuality. He originally mentioned a 2030 release window for contacts but hasn't mentioned them since.

Released products in 2022

The Apple Watch Series 8 with temperature sensing, the Apple Watch Ultra with a rugged design, and an iPhone 14 Pro with a 48 MP camera were all predicted with highly accurate reports from Ming-Chi Kuo throughout the 2021-2022 rumor cycle.

Kuo continues to be one of the most accurate sources of pre-release information derived from Apple's supply chain. Only Mark Gurman from Bloomberg can claim to come close.

Ming-Chi Kuo's History

Ming-Chi Kuo has been a well-known Apple analyst for the past decade. His career first came into the spotlight while working at Digitimes, stating ship windows of unreleased iPhone 4 models. He went to work for Concord Securities in 2011, then KGI Securities in 2013.

There he spent the better part of a decade making a name for himself in the Apple rumors sector. When Mark Gurman didn't have insider information, Kuo usually did. Between the two of them, much of Apple's announcements were known well before being made public.

Kuo left KGI in 2018 to join with Chinese firm TF International. He still works there today and continues to provide highly accurate reports and analyses of Apple and its plans.

Timeline of Reports

The following is a timeline of every relevant report from Ming-Chi Kuo predicting a new product or feature. Most predictions pertain to whatever the next iPhone will be, but have expanded to encompass nearly every Apple product during his career.

Product names like “iPhone X” or “Pro Display XDR” were not known until very close to the announcement, so for simplicity’s sake, the correct product name will be referred to in quotes.

2022

Ming-Chi Kuo became highly active on Twitter sharing various predictions and suggestions throughout 2022. Many reiterated previous predictions or seemed to be straight-up guesses.

Kuo's activity on social media versus his notes from TF International blurred in a way that made separating his actual leaks backed by data from guesswork more difficult.

For now, Kuo's timeline will only contain historical data from 2021 and earlier. Follow AppleInsider's main coverage for more on Kuo and his current reports.

2021

December

  • "iPhone 14" to have 48MP camera sensor. "iPhone 15" to use periscoping camera system.
  • More powerful "AirPods Pro 2" coming in late 2022
  • Three new Apple Watch models including new Apple Watch SE and extreme sports models in 2022
  • Apple AR headset to be under a pound, second model even lighter

September

  • "iPhone 15" to have under-display Touch ID in 2023
  • "iPhone SE 3" with 5G expected in 2022
  • "iPhone Fold" coming in 2024

August

July

June

May

April

March

  • "iPhone 13 Pro Max" to have f1.5 aperture 7P wide angle lens
  • Apple VR in 2022 at $1000, "Apple Glass" in 2025, contact lens in 2030
  • "iPhone 13" not moving to USB-C or gaining Touch ID in power button

February

  • Apple to work with Hyundai on Apple Car using E-GMP platform
  • Two new MacBook Pro models will have SD card slots and HDMI port

January

2020

December

November

September

  • 120Hz not coming to "iPhone 12" and Touch ID in top button in more devices in 2021
  • iPad Pro to be the first device with Mini LED display 

August

July

June

May

April

March

February

January

  • 2021 iPhone will have a Touch ID power button and LCD.
  • ”iPhone SE,” "AirTags," small AirPower-like mat, 2020 iPad Pro, “AirPods Studio,” 2020 MacBook Air, and 13-inch MacBook Pro should ship in the first half of 2020.
  • All four “iPhone 12” are on schedule to launch in fall 2020, and will include sub-6GHz and mmWave models.

2019

December

November

October

September

August

July

April

March

February

2018

December

November

October

September

August

July

June

April

March

February

January

2017

December

November

October

August

July

May

March

February

January

2016

November

October

September

August

  • ”10.5-inch iPad Pro” expected in 2017, AMOLED iPad in 2018.
  • “Apple Watch Series 2” with a faster chip, GPS, barometer, larger battery, and same thickness to launch in 2016.

May

April

March

February

January

2015

December

November

September

August

July

  • Apple Watch refresh expected with “sport models” in yellow and rose gold, a new iMac and iPad mini expected in 2015.

June

May

April

March

February

January

2014

November

October

September

April

Ming-Chi Kuo continues to provide reports from his current place of work, TF International.